Hooray! Unemployment is down, and factory production is up. The economy has gotta be improving now, right? Um, not so fast. Checking the small print:
The jobless rate slid to 6.2 percent last month from 6.4 percent, the Labor Department said. However, that decline was caused by an exodus of job-hunters from the labor force, not by any surge in hiring.
Yeah, having 556,000 people give up on finding a job should be a real shot-in-the-arm. Oh, overall payroll was reduced, too, by 44,000 jobs (71,000 in manufacturing alone). On the other hand, personal income rose by 0.3%, and factory activity is up. Sounds consistent with the offshore-outsourcing (loss of jobs) and wealth-concentration (rising average income despite more unemployed people) trends. Of course, one month's data is insufficient to determine any sort of trend, but I do love it when the numbers come together, even if it's just a random fluctuation.
Posted by mikewang on 10:16 AM